Warning Description: Areal Flood Watch

Warning Date: 5:53 PM EDT on August 19, 2008

WarningSum:...Flood Watch Now In Effect Through Friday Afternoon...

Warning Message:The Flood Watch is now in effect for
* a portion of northeast Florida...including the following 
  areas...Alachua...Baker...Bradford...Clay...Columbia...Duval...
  Flagler...Gilchrist...Hamilton...Marion...Nassau...Putnam...St 
  Johns...Suwannee and Union.
* Through Friday afternoon
* Tropical Storm Fay is over east central Florida and will move
  north northeast then turn north and slow on Wednesday and is
  then forecast to turn northwest and possibly strengthen over the
  Atlantic. As Fay moves closer to the area through Wednesday and
  Thursday...rainfall potential will increase as outer rain bands
  approach from the south. As a result...a Flood Watch remains in
  effect for all of northeast Florida.
* Highest rainfall amounts...both preceding and directly
  associated with Fay...will favor eastern sections of the area.
  Based on the current forecast track...eastern sections of
  northeast Florida could receive 5 to 10 inches...with locally
  higher amounts possible. Further inland west of a Gainesville to
  Live Oak line may receive a bit less due to being on the
  southwest side of Fay.
A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.
Warning Description: Hurricane Watch, Inland Tropical Wind Watch, Tropical Storm Watch

Warning Date: 5:00 PM EDT on August 19, 2008

WarningSum:


Warning Message:Flagler-Beach-FL                    29.47n 81.12w
Fernandina-Beach-FL                 30.66n 81.44w
Attn...WFO...chs...mlb...jax...
1132 am EDT Tue Aug 19 2008
...Tropical storm wind watch remains in effect through Thursday
afternoon...
...Tropical storm watch remains in effect...
...New information...
The latest forecast track has Fay moving very slowly across the
area through Wednesday and then offshore the Atlantic coast. As
the storm slows and potentially approaches the coast again late
this week and into the weekend...a prolonged heavy rainfall event over
portions of North Florida is possible.
...Areas affected...
This statement recommends actions to be taken by persons in
Nassau...Duval...St Johns and Flagler counties in northeast
Florida.
...Watches/warnings...
A tropical storm watch continues for the coast of northeast
Florida from Fernandina Beach to Flagler Beach.
A tropical storm wind watch continues for inland counties of
northeast Florida.
A Flood Watch has been issued for all of northeast Florida.
...Precautionary/preparedness actions...
Residents and visitors in the watch area should prepare for the
potential of tropical storm force winds...and heavy rainfall
which may cause flooding.
A tropical storm watch is issued when sustained winds near
tropical storm strength...or frequent gusts at or above tropical
storm strength...are possible within 24 to 36 hours.
...Storm surge and storm tide...
Onshore winds could result in tides of 1 to 3 feet above normal
along the coast...especially if the storm track shifts further to
the east.
...Winds...
As Fay approaches from the south...winds will increase later
tonight mainly along the immediate coasts of St Johns and Flagler
counties. Winds of 20 to 30 mph with mainly gusts to tropical
storm force are possible beginning late tonight and continuing
through Wednesday. The highest winds are likely along the
immediate coast...over the Intracoastal Waterway and on portions
of the St Johns River. Should the storm emerge over the Atlantic
on Wednesday and approach the coast once again on Thursday as the
current track suggests...sustained tropical storm force winds will
be possible.
...Probability of hurricane/tropical storm conditions...
For the city of Jacksonville...there is a 31 percent chance of
winds equal to or greater than 34 knots or 39 mph. Although mainly
gusts to tropical storm force will begin late tonight...the
greater potential for sustained tropical storm force conditions
exists for Thursday and Friday should the storm approach the coast
from the east. There is a 2 percent chance of winds equal to or
greater than 64 knots or 74 mph. These probabilities may change
depending upon the future track and intensity of Fay.
...Inland flooding...
Rainfall amounts could potentially reach 4 to 8 inches through
Thursday if the storm slows its forward motion substantially. If
the storm moves very slowly...as the current forecast track
suggests...these amounts could be substantially higher. This
amount of rain can produce flooding of roads...especially those
with poor drainage. Known intersections with very poor drainage
may have water levels up to 3 feet. Other poor drainage areas will
have water rises of 1 foot. If approaching a flooded
roadway...turn around don't drown.
Persons in normally flood prone areas...such as Moncrief
creek...mccoys creek and hogans creek...should be prepared to
take immediate protective actions should flash flood warnings be
issued.
...Tornadoes...
Isolated tornadoes will be possible across the area beginning
this afternoon.
...Next update...
This statement will be updated around 530 PM EDT on Tuesday.